November 24, 2025
Prof. Klisman Murati: Forecasting Geoeconomic Turn-Points for 2026
In a world increasingly shaped by rapid geopolitical and economic shifts, the ability to anticipate major trends has never been more valuable. Prof. Klisman Murati, founder and CEO of Pareto Economics and creator of the Global Power Index (GPI), has emerged as a trusted voice in helping organisations navigate such uncertainty.
A Track Record of Accurate Forecasting
“Unfortunately a lot of corporate and investment strategy at board level lacks systemic ways of thinking which weakens leaders' ability to make confident long term calls” says Murati. “If you want to forecast the future you must have a valid framework which takes real world data and produces scenarios that you can act on, and that’s what we have created with the Global Power Index”. Murati’s framework has attracted global institutions, governments and leading businesses because it identifies the drivers of national rise and decline, rather than simply reacting to headlines.
As Murati explains:
“The Global Power Index is a data driven innovation based on first principles thinking that tracks the development of 194 counties on six core holistic metrics ( Consumer Markets, Military Balance, Technological Leadership, Systematically Important Commodities, Geo-Strategic Positioning and Financial Strength) allowing clients and audiences to see the trajectory of countries and allows them to act before competitors. It shows the living breathing pulse of global affairs…and that has proven essential in shaping both policy, investment and business strategy for clients”.
He Continues:
“We focus our attention on development metrics of countries because ultimately that is the most senior decision making authority of the world today.”
Those remarks underscore Murati’s unique vantage: macro-economic, and geo-political forecasting grounded in structural analysis of states.
One early example of his forecasting strength is the publicly documented prediction of a German recession in 2023, ahead of many major economic commentators. Another is the GPI’s early alert to the Russia-Ukraine invasion and its prolonged consequences for Europe’s energy security and global inflation.
Forecasting the Horizon: 2026 and Beyond
Murati identifies a series of strategic inflection points that he believes will shape global business and policy decisions which businesses and investors in the GCC need to be aware about, in 2026 and beyond:
China’s 15th Five-Year Plan
Murati points to China’s forthcoming policy cycle as a major business driver in 2026: supply‐chain shifts, reversing deflation, semiconductor production independence and more fierce interaction between East and West will intensify. His GPI data helps clients quantify how nations, investors and corporations should respond to these changes.
Government Debt and Economic Risk
“The continuing growth of public debt across major financial centers is worrying. As more government revenue goes to servicing debt repayments, less and less is going towards public services. This will cause major societal and business shocks especially if we see more geopolitical eruptions across the world”.
Murati warns that rising public debt levels will leave less room for investment in public services and infrastructure, increasing volatility in economies such as Italy, Japan, the UK and the US.
Germany’s Infrastructure Gamble
While Germany’s current leadership is investing aggressively in public infrastructure, Murati forecasts that the outcome may be disappointing: misallocated funds and growing societal and political frustration could worsen economic outcomes rather than improve them.
U.S. Military Engagement in Venezuela
Murati also highlights a less discussed but potentially significant hotspot: increased U.S. involvement in Venezuela may trigger broader geopolitical and economic consequences, particularly via migration flows and energy markets.
Why Leaders Turn to Klisman Murati
Murati does not simply deliver predictions, he provides frameworks.
By focusing on the six “centres of power” (consumer market, military balance, technological leadership, financial strength, geostrategic position and systemically important commodities) he gives businesses, investors and governments a way to map future risk and opportunity, rather than reacting to the present. CEO Monthly
That methodology has earned Murati global bookings, board-room engagements and a platform in major strategy forums.
In an age of disruption, the value of foresight is clear. Prof. Klisman Murati’s combination of structural analysis, timely prediction and data-driven frameworks offers a strategic edge for organisations seeking not just to survive, but to lead. As global power shifts accelerate, his voice is increasingly in demand.
For organisations preparing the next phase of growth or policy planning, Murati represents not only insight, but influence.
Also View: How to Build Unshakable Business Resilience in the Face of Geopolitical Risk | Prof. Klisman Murati
More About Prof. Klisman Murati: https://mena-speakers.com/speakers/professor-klisman-murati
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